What the Winners Do
To recap from the News letter:

In a study of 375 of the Fortune 500 companies, Bain & Company identified three stages to a downturn and two contrary behaviours to each stage. The stages are:

        1.  Storm clouds - the first sign of trouble.
        2.  Wet and rainy weather - sales plunge.
        3.  First rays of sunshine - customer purchases increase again.

What the Losers Do

In Bain's study they found that the 'losers' respond to each stage 'intuitively'. At each stage, losers:

        1.  Exude confidence - don't alarm the team or the market.
        2.  Slash costs - reduce staff, quality and services.
        3.  Spend lots - regain momentum, make it up to staff and customers.

Now for the winners:

Winners act counter-intuitively. At each stage, they:

        1. Reality check then plan - they provide their team with an objective analysis of their situation and            share their contingency plans.

        2. Partner - they treat staff and customers as partners, take a "we're all in this together so let's
           work out how to get through these tough times", and favour action over analysis, often buying
           up faltering competitors. (That strength message again.)

        3. Ramp up - because they've maintained capacity there is no need to "jerk into gear" to meet a
            rising market. They are well placed to ramp up activity first, then resources to keep pace with
            their market.

What the Winners Get

There is researched evidence across similar companies showing that those with little or no lay-offs in a downturn significantly outperform those with larger lay-offs.
The maths for this is simple: As most downturns last an average of 11 months, wage savings from lay-offs are more than offset by the combination of severance costs, declined productivity, rehiring costs and training.


Three Basic Sales Strategies for Softening Markets

Here are three strategies proven by winners to work in a downturn:

        1. Count your chickens. Make sure that you are looking after your existing customers better than
           usual (if that's possible) because there'll be plenty of hungry competitors out there ready to do            anything to steal them from you. If you step up first, and raise service levels when everyone is            talking doom and gloom, you're going to be a beacon in the dark, and attract both old and new             customers alike. You'll also raise the bar so high your competitors will waste a lot of valuable            resources trying to jump over it.

        2. Find your lost chickens. Lost and lapsed customers - and ones you just plain mislaid, are still more            likely to buy from you again, than is a new client. So it makes sense to go back, find those lost             chickens, apologize, crawl over broken glass if need be and win them back into your pen. We all            lose customers in good times for the simple reason that sales people like the thrill of chasing new            customers more than the drill of looking after old ones, so there will be lost chickens on your             books. If you dropped them because they would not meet your price, see if there is a way you            can meet their price point profitably with an economy offering.

        3. Steal someone else's chickens. With competitors cutting service levels you have the perfect
           opportunity to raise yours (having first done it for your own customers, you should be good at it!)
           and steal their chickens. If you've retained all of your sales force when the market is rife with
           tales of lay-offs, you're in the perfect position to ask your entire sales and service team to step
           up to a new mark and secure their company's future (they know they are thereby securing their
           jobs, so you don't need to raise this as a threat).         

The Odds Are in Your Favour

Here are some interesting odds calculated for four types of sales behaviour. They might not be precise for your industry, but I'll guarantee their relativity is accurate regardless of your market:

        1. Sell a current customer a current product: 2:1
 
        2. Sell a current customer a new product: 4:1

        3. Sell a current product to a new customer: 8:1

        4. Sell a new product to a new customer: 24:1

Winning Sales Strategies

        1. Improve your pipeline management. In good times sales people tend to tolerate a certain amount            of wastage from their pipeline (the flow of people who are at various stages of the buying
           process). In bad times, they'll sometimes hang onto non-buyers to comfort them that their
           pipeline is still healthy - when it's not! (We do a lot of work in this area, and there is insufficient
           space for detail here, so please email me if you'd like more).

        2. Improve your selling process. Again, when times are easy, selling processes can get sloppy and
            still bring in the bacon. In tight times, a better level of performance is needed just to get by, so             review and then improve your team's overall performance at the coalface. (Again, this is one of             our training specialties, so email me for more, please.)

        3. Improve your activity rate. Contact more people and run a better process while doing that. Add
            more prospects to your pipeline, increase your follow up rate and frequency, raise your standards             all around.

        4. Count everything. Selling is a numbers game and results always improve when you subject its
             various stages to analysis, reflection and feedback.

        5. Hold your pricing and increase your value. Giving away margin in tight times will only add to the
           negative effects of having to work harder for the same sales dollar - if your cost of each sale            goes up because you've had to raise the bar to compete (or dominate) then, more than ever, you            need to maintain margin. Instead of cutting price, add value, improve service, follow up,
           relationship build. Don't be surprised if this pays off in unexpected follow-on sales
.